By Matthew Milton aka @LeafyDragon_FPL
Ahoy! I’m back to share with you my six best picks for this gameweek purely based on a player’s shots in the box data and their upcoming opponent’s shots in the box conceded data.
Lets have a look at my success of my shots in the box picks from GW8.
6️⃣ Buyako Saka – 0pts ❌
5️⃣ Timo Werner – 7pts ✅
4️⃣ Harry Kane – 9pts ✅
3️⃣ Che Adams – 7pts ✅
2️⃣ Dominic Calvert Lewin – 5pts ✅
1️⃣ Patrick Bamford – 7pts ✅
A decent 35pts from 6. SUCCESS (cough ignore Saka cough).
Time for this week’s half dozen…
Six: Dominic Calvert – Lewin (£7.8m) v FUL (h)
Of course he’s in this list. The Premier League’s joint-top scorer against Fulham. DCL failed to get a goal last GW but managed an assist. He also netted a penalty on international duty. The guy does not look like slowing down. He’s had 14 shots in the box in his last 6 games and Everton look to be back at full strength, which can only be a good sign for Inzaghi 2.0. He plays Fulham, who have conceded 50 shots in the box in their last 6 games (joint sixth worst with Everton). There’s a strong chance he is well captained this GW. His aSITB score is 5.33.
Five: Patrick Bamford (£6.1m) v ARS (h)
The numero – uno pick in GW8 and, although he grabbed a goal (should have been more), the fixture didn’t swing the way I thought it would. Bamford has the highest amount of shots in the box of any player in the last 6 GWs (24 shots). He finds himself fifth in the top scorer charts, level with Harry Kane. Bamford plays Arsenal, who seems far more resolute than in previous years. They have conceded 41 shots in the box in their last 6, which is relatively low. I can see this being a really intriguing contest with chances at both ends. Bamford’s aSITB score is 5.42.
Four: Timo Werner (£9.4m) v NEW (a)
Chelsea seem to be slowly finding their feet, as expected. Timo got on the score sheet last game week and appears to have taken penalty duty from Jorginho, if only temporarily. Werner has had 12 shots in the box (9th highest). Newcastle are continuing last season’s trend of having woeful stats but somehow getting results. They have conceded the second highest total of shots in the box (58) and are the only team to have allowed over 100 shots at goal in the last 6 game weeks (104). Timo’s aSITB score is 5.83..
Three: Aleksandar Mitrovic (£5.7m) v EVE (h)
Just no. No. No. No. No. No.
Two: Tammy Abraham (£7.2m) v NEW (a)
An interesting call and I hope he starts. I slated a friend, who is a casual player not so long ago for bringing in Abraham and since then he has 1 goal and 2 assists in four gameweeks. He has amassed a total of 13 shots in the box in the last 6 games and plays Newcastle, who, as we have already discussed, are shot magnets. If Tammy plays, Tammy scores in my opinion. His aSITB score is 5.92.
One: Neal Maupay (£6.4m) v AVL (a)
Maupay being at number one, clearly has more to do with the defensive collapse of Aston Villa, rather than the might of the Brighton attack. Maupay has had 13 shots in the box and has a grand total of 2 goals in his last 6 games. Aston Villa have conceded the most shots in the box in the past 6 games (59) but have kept clean sheets in 3 out of those six games. Crazy right? This is the most unsure I’ve been about one of the Shots-In-The-Box-ometer’s top picks but we will see. His aSITB score is 6.00.
All the best for GW9!
Until next time,
Matt 🌿🐲 @LeafyDragon_FPL